Did the groundhog see his shadow? Get the results of Punxsutawney Phil's winter forecast

Jordan Mendoza, USA TODAY
·2 min read
20

It's official: We will have a longer winter, according to America's beloved groundhog meteorologist.

Punxsutawney Phil rose from his burrow and saw his shadow Thursday morning in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, in front of a large Groundhog Day crowd as the nation anxiously waited to see what he would predict.

Phil's prediction was made official after speaking with Groundhog Club president Tom Dunkel in "Groundhogese," who then translated the prediction for the world.

Phil spotting his shadow means we will have six more weeks of winter. The prediction comes as much of the country is dealing with another major winter storm.

Groundhog Day 2023 livestream: Watch Punxsutawney Phil make his annual weather prediction 

More: Every Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil predicts the future weather. How often is he right? 

Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, takes in the celebration at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa.
Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, takes in the celebration at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa.

This year marks the third straight year the groundhog has spotted his shadow, something he has done often since his first prediction in 1887. Of the 127 recorded times Phil has predicted the weather, he has now seen his shadow 107 times (or 84% of the time). His longest streak of seeing his shadow remains at 31, when he saw it every year from 1903 to 1933.

It'll take some time to figure out whether Phil's prediction is right, but given his history, he's probably wrong.

Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume makes sure Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, is ready for his close-up.
Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume makes sure Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, is ready for his close-up.

According to the Stormfax Weather Almanac, Phil has been right only 39% of the time, and his track record is evidence that trying to predict the weather is hard, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Centers for Environmental Information says.

"Predicting the arrival of springtime for an entire country, especially one with such varied regional climates as the United States, isn’t easy," the center said.

Still, it doesn't prevent the The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club's Inner Circle – the group that puts on the annual event and takes care of Phil – from celebrating its hero. The group says the groundhog's prediction is right "100% of the time, of course!"

The Farmers' Almanac says it'll be a 'soggy, shivery' spring: What will the weather be in your state?

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Rory Szwed, left, and Kent Rowan wait for Punxsutawney Phil to make his prediction on the 137th celebration of Groundhog Day in Punxsutawney, Pa.
Rory Szwed, left, and Kent Rowan wait for Punxsutawney Phil to make his prediction on the 137th celebration of Groundhog Day in Punxsutawney, Pa.

Punxsutawney Phil's recent predictions and Groundhog Day results

Here are the past 10 predictions made by Punxsutawney Phil:

  • 2014: Shadow

  • 2015: Shadow

  • 2016: No shadow

  • 2017: Shadow

  • 2018: Shadow

  • 2019: No shadow

  • 2020: No shadow

  • 2021: Shadow

  • 2022: Shadow

  • 2023: Shadow

Follow Jordan Mendoza on Twitter: @jordan_mendoza5.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Groundhog Day 2023 results: Did Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?